nameandnature: Giles from Buffy (Default)
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The Problem of Induction
Nice summary of Hume on induction.
(tags: philosophy hume induction knowledge epistemology science)
OK Go, The Muppets - Muppet Show Theme Song - YouTube
OK Go and the Muppets!
(tags: okgo muppets video music)
Mr. Deity and the Philosopher - YouTube
"Well, if I did order genocide, I'd have a pretty good reason, or at least, an apologist could make one up." Nice. The begging bit at the end is funny too.
(tags: euthypro-dilemma philosophy funny mr-deity religion)
A Sketch of an Anti-Realist Metaethics - Less Wrong
Nice explanation of the map/territory distinction, and seems to accord pretty closely with my own views on morality.
(tags: hume philosophy metaethics ethics morality less-wrong lesswrong)

Date: 2011-08-30 12:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gareth-rees.livejournal.com
Yes, that's a good summary of Hume on induction: it makes clear the distinction between inductive fallibility (inductive arguments are not logically valid) and inductive skepticism (there is no good reason to believe the conclusion of an inductive argument).

Personally I think that the massive empirical success of inductive arguments means that if philosophers cannot logically justify induction, then that is a problem for philosophers, and not for induction.

Date: 2011-08-30 03:11 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] pete stevens (from livejournal.com)
Can't you just work it backwards. Assert that induction doesn't work and the entire set of laws in the universe flip completely at random from time to time. Then we try and estimate the upper bound on the probability that this particular set of laws we have right now will flip on the next experiment using the gathered data that they haven't flipped on the previous 70 trillion experiments done in the LHC.

If you then pick a 95% confidence limit (i.e. if the probability was the number we're about to fail to calculate, there's a 95% chance the universe would have flipped its laws), then the lower bound of probability of the universe behaving inductively on the next experiment is 0.95^(1/70tn). Consequently a universe in which inductive reasoning doesn't work behave more inductively than something which is indistinguishable from one which does to the first fifteen decimal places or so.

Date: 2011-08-31 09:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gareth-rees.livejournal.com
I don't believe in your anti-inductionist. How could he manage to live? According to anti-inductionism, there's no good reason to believe that fire will be hot today (just because it's always been hot in the past), and no good reason to believe that it's dangerous to jump off a cliff today (just because it's always been dangerous in the past).

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